Despite losing three straight, Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals (6-7) still see a path to the playoffs and even the NFC West title as they prepare for a Sunday tilt against Drake Maye and the New England Patriots (3-10).
It has been a roller coaster of a season for the Cards. Prior to losing 3 in a row, Arizona had won 4 straight. Following this game, the Cardinals travel to Carolina, are home against the Rams, and finish the season at San Francisco. They need help, but if they can win their remaining 4 games, the Cardinals could find themselves in the playoffs for the first time since 2021. If they pull off that feat, there will be substantial momentum behind Jonathan Gannon for Coach of the Year (+7500).
Drake Maye has probably started more games (9) than the Patriots wanted to this point in the season, but the rookie signal caller has acquitted himself OK thus far completing 67.2% of his passes for 1696 yards. That is not to say there have not been growing pains as he has thrown just 11 TDs while tossing 8 INTs and being sacked 25 times. This will be a stern test for the rookie as the Cards' defense is allowing just 218 passing yards per game.
Lets dive into the matchup and find a few sweats.
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Despite Arizona's recent skid, this line has jumped from the Cards' being 3-point favorites when the line was originally set to them being favored by a touchdown currently. The Total has moved substantially as well from 44 at the open to 46.5.
Expert picks & predictions for Patriots at Cardinals
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday's game between New England and Arizona:
· The Patriots are 5-7-1 against the spread this season.
· The Patriots are 8-5 to the OVER this season.
· The Cardinals are 8-5 against the spread this season.
· The Cardinals are 5-6-2 to the OVER this season.
· The Cardinals have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with losing records.
· The UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Patriots' last 9 games (78%) coming off a bye week.
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