The Kansas City Chiefs routinely reduce football fans to a Jesse Pinkman impression -- wailing about how they "can't keep getting away with this!" The defending Super Bowl champions are road favorites against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. What they pull off this week is anyone's guess.

The Chiefs are 12-1. Now, let's remember the many dramatic, improbable ways they got here. Isaiah Likely's toe was a half-inch out of bounds on opening night. A fourth-down penalty on the Bengals defense set up a walk-off 51-yard field goal in Week 2. There was the overtime win over the Bucs, directly followed by a game-winning blocked kick against the Broncos. Last Sunday gave us a new one -- Matthew Wright booted the ball off the upright, and it found its way through on the deflection.

Like many good teams throughout the years, the Chiefs have been recipients of good fortune. Football Reference has their expected win-loss mark at 8-5. But Kansas City also bears the hallmarks of a steely squad built to win close games. They're averaging the longest drives in the NFL, and they're second in yards per carry allowed. The ground game gets a shot in the arm with Isiah Pacheco, who missed more than half the season with a fractured fibula. And All-Pro Chris Jones and ascendant Tershawn Wharton make for a dominant interior duo along the defensive line.

Cleveland is playing for pride. It is 3-10, 29th in points scored and 26th in points allowed. At least wideout Jerry Jeudy is surging for fantasy football playoff runs. He's averaging 6.5 catches and 131.5 yards across his last four games, with three touchdowns. The Browns are tied with five other 3-10 teams for the second-worst record in the league. These final weeks will be crucial in determining their 2025 draft position.

Best bets from Austin Mock: Picking two sizable favorites and an under

Super Bowl 2025 odds: Lions favored to win it all; Chiefs on the rise, Bills drop

NFL Power Rankings Week 15: Vikings, Seahawks move up, plus breakout player for every team